A snow day literally and figuratively falls from the sky, unbidden, and seems like a thing of wonder. -- Susan Orlean

Thursday, February 13, 2014

Late Evening Report: Storm Delilah Day 2

We're going to weather-nerd you out for a second. Here's a quotation from NOAA:
OUR CONFIDENCE IS VERY HIGH FOR A NORTH TO SOUTH OR SLIGHTLY N/NW TO S/SE ORIENTED MESOSCALE SNOWBAND TO HIT MOST OF ERN NY AND WRN NEW ENGLAND.
What does NOAA mean, exactly, when it makes such a proclamation? In human terms, it means the experts think we're going to get socked this evening with heavy, heavy bands of snow. Three inches an hour.

Obviously, should their prognostications come through, everyone in Berkshire County will have delays and about half of the schools/districts will go with snow days.

Yet...we still think the heavy bands will veer to our west, but the latest radar shows heavy snow in northern New Jersey and edging our way ever so slightly:


We would love to see that heavy snow to our southwest filter in over us, but we're still not confident that it will make it. Another factor for you to consider: temps at the GSD Home Office right now (10 PM) are at 34 degrees. That means sleet, people. Sleet shouldn't last long--it will change over to snow--but a period of sleet in the Berks will keep snow totals down. Then again, sleet would compromise road crews' abilities to clear the roads effectively. The plot thickens.

We're still bearish on the back end of Storm Delilah. We're going to keep the True North Confidence Meter where it is for the night. Fortunately, if we're wrong, it will work in students' favor and students will begin their vacations early.

We'll be up early with updates as delays and cancellations come in.

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