Monday, November 11, 2019

Wet Snow Tuesday But No Real Accumulation

As you may have guessed from the lack of updates from us on this early season storm, it will be tracking to our our north, and the most we will see is an inch or so on the grounds during the morning hours on Tuesday. The morning commute should be okay. So, we'll have to wait a few more weeks (or longer) for our first school-shortening or school-closing event of the season.

Now you need to brace yourselves for brutal cold for Wednesday. We'll struggle to get to the mid-20s on Wednesday, and Thursday morning you can expect to wake up to single-digit temps.

From our friends at WNYT-Channel 13 Albany, and this map may be on the high side for the Berkshires.
As for winter weather, we don't see any in the 10-day forecast. Temps will return more to normal next week with high 40s the norm for the week of the 18th.

Don't be too disappointed. We'll see plenty of snow events this season in due time.

Saturday, November 9, 2019

Snowier Forecast for Tuesday

Just a quick heads up that the storm that we thought was somewhat fizzling for Tuesday is now gaining some strength. It still (probably) won't be a blockbuster, but we could see almost half a foot in the northernmost points in the Berkshires.

Saturday night's snow map from NWS-Albany.
Delays are obviously still possible for Tuesday. There are some signs that the storm could be hastening itself along and might end early enough to allow road crews to clear off any snowy roads, so we'll have to keep an eye on that.

We're definitely dialed in on this storm and will be tracking it round the clock for the next 48 hours.

And, also, don't be surprised to see the first Winter Weather Advisory of the season for North County on Monday night.

Light Snow Possibility for Tuesday

If we were one of those shameless weather media outlets that tries to drive up web traffic, we would tell you to brace for the worst, get the snow tires on, and find those high snow boots because the first big snow storm of the season is about to unleash its fury on the Berkshires.

But we're not like them.

We do have a storm on the horizon for Monday night into Tuesday morning. Initially, the models were forecasting a classic I-95 coastal storm (read: 6-10 inches for us). Unfortunately, the latest models have the center of the storm pushing inland and northward, which means higher temps and less snow for Western Mass.

There is a puncher's chance that there will be enough messiness on the roads on Tuesday in the northern half of the Berkshires to necessitate our first delays of the season. Based on the models we're seeing, Adams-Cheshire, Florida and Clarksburg would be the more likely candidates for delays on Tuesday, but delays there are by no means a lock.

The best feature of this storm is the timing. Snow should be coming down during the morning commute, especially north of Pittsfield.

Close but no cigar, for now.
If you're really desperate for that first delay or snow day, then you need to use all your mental energy to will the track of the storm southward. If the storm center does shift 100 miles toward the coast, then we could be in for a more moderate snowfall.

After Tuesday's storm, brace for very cold temps for November. We could see single digits on Wednesday night!

Thursday, November 7, 2019

Mountain Snow Tonight; Cold and Snow Next Week

Most Berkshirites will need to wait until next week to see the first sustained snow of the season, as tonight's storm will mostly be rain except in the highest elevations of the County.

Today's storm will produce afternoon and evening rain for most locations. If you live in elevations 1500 feet or above, expect snow-covered ground by tomorrow morning. Those below 1500 feet will see some wet flakes mixing in with the rain but no accumulation.

The bigger news out of Weatherland is the huge mass of cold air about to funnel down from Canada next week. And there is talk of a moderate snowfall on Tuesday. Temps will plummet into the low teens on Tuesday night, which is very unusual for this time of year. And with the arrival of the cold air, the chance for a solid 3-4 inch storm is in the realm of possibility. If the timing works out, we could see delays on Tuesday.

The map of the above is a GFS model map, which isn't a favorite, but it has proven to be reliable in the past. We'll have much more to say over the weekend about the big changes coming to Berkshire County next week.