MODELS ARE TRENDING MORE AND MORE TOWARDS A SIGNIFICANT [PRECIPITATION]
EVENT FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A SHARP SHORT WAVE [TROUGH] SWINGS AROUND
THE BROAD UPPER LEVEL [TROUGH] OVER THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY...AND
INDUCES STRONG CYCLOGENESIS ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH.
THIS LOW IS FORECAST TO REMAIN SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND AND THE NEW
ENGLAND COAST WHICH WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO GET COLD ENOUGH FOR RAIN TO
CHANCE TO SNOW ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION. RIGHT NOW IT APPEARS THAT
AREAS SOUTH OF ALBANY HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL
As far as storms go, "CYCLOGENESIS" is a very good word to see--not quite as good as "BOMBOGENESIS," but for early December beggars can't be choosers.
This storm will move fast, so it's unlikely to really pile up the way it did in October. If it does turn to snow--and we're very concerned about the lack of cold air in place despite the report above--it will be of the heavy, wet variety.
Be aware that some models are still predicting all rain. Others see a shift to a mix in the end. At this point, based on the information we have, it's extremely unlikely we'll have a snow day, but a delay is very much in the mix.