Wednesday, January 31, 2018

Active Weather Pattern for Early February

This past weekend, we hyped the possibility of not one but two potential snow storms for this week. Alas, we got a little too excited about the potential for snow and both storms this week have fizzled. We were hoping for a total of 10 inches this week; realistically, we'll see 1-2 inches by the end of the work week. The weekend is a whole nother story, as they say.

Technically, it did snow yesterday. We caught the back end of a disturbance and it pushed a period of snow on top of us Tuesday evening. Most locations in the Berkshires picked up a quarter of an inch of snow. At least it looks like winter out there now.

As for the rest of this week, we are expecting some snow showers tonight (Wednesday), light rain on Thursday, and then a changeover to snow again Thursday night into Friday as the cold front moves in. Temps will be in the 30s on Thursday and then drop down into the low 20s and continue to drop as we move into the weekend. While the roads during the morning commute could be messy both Thursday and Friday, the better chance for delays will occur Friday. Unfortunately, the GSD Staff is not confident that we will see very many delays on Friday.

Even though this week was a bust, we are excited about a possible Sunday/Monday storm. (We know, once bitten twice shy. But we really mean in it this time.) The model runs are showing all kinds of scenarios, but several runs do show phasing of two low-pressure systems and a coastal storm developing. And you know what that means. It's highly likely we will get light snow (1-3 inches), but the possibility exists for a snow-day-inducing event Sunday night. As the GSD Staff has recommended for many years that the day after the Super Bowl be a national holiday, we are intensely rooting for this storm to develop.

While this map does not show a direct hit, it does show that a coastal storm is in the forecast for Sunday and Monday. We just need to storm to hug closer to the coast and we're looking at 8-12 inches for much of New England.

Definitely keep your ears open for possible delays Thursday and Friday--even though the chances are slim--and keep your fingers crossed for a coastal storm for Sunday night.

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