Wednesday, January 3, 2018

Thursday Storm Morning Report

Last minute adjustments are coming in about this winter hurricane, and some of the models are pushing the storm's track more to the west. West is good; east is bad.

What started as a 1-3" snow storm has now become a  3-5" storm with 4-6" on the eastern facing slopes of the Berkshire Hills.

Here's a very interesting Twitter update from Boston meteorologist Dave Epstein:

If you can't read the fine print: "One of the models we use is showing up westward jog so much that it brings rain into Boston during storm. Will awaait the afternoon date before making changes."
If that model he's looking at proves to be true--and it might be a red herring--then we could see 6-9 inches of snow in Berkshire County.

We're also closely monitoring the timing of the storm. The timing is the main factor that the GSD Staff is focusing on right now. Here's a helpful map from NWS-Albany:



The timing is improving (from two days ago), but we'd be more comfortable if it would speed up by an hour or two. Then again, if our Winter Weather Advisory gets upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning at some point today, then the timing really won't matter and we'll be looking at widespread snow days.

We're upgrading the True North Confidence Meter, but we're hardly all in on full snow days for tomorrow.

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