Sunday, March 18, 2018

Two (Minor) Storm Threats

As of now, it looks like we might be spared nor'easter #4.

We have two threats this week. The first threat is Monday night into Tuesday, and the models appear to be in agreement that this storm will slide out to sea to our south.

The next potential storm would impact us on Wednesday and possibly impact the school day on Thursday. This storm also appears to be too far to the east to give us snow, but there is a better chance that this storm track changes and brings snow to New England. Even if this storm does come closer to the coast, it might be more of a Maine storm than a Western New England one.

We'll have to see if this area of precipitation grows and moves into New England for Wednesday night/Thursday. We'll know in a day or two.
The reason for these dual storm threats are pieces of energy in the midwest that are trying to feed off of and cooperate with low pressure systems in the south. The last three storms saw good low pressure coordination, which led to blockbuster snow totals.

This week's scenarios just seem too messy for there to be an opportunity for a low pressure system to deepen and grow in intensity. What we want to see is one strong piece of energy from the midwest, but we're seeing the energy diffused among several weaker pieces.

We're definitely keeping an eye on these two storms, especially the Wednesday/Thursday one. The spring high school sports season begins on Monday (which is hard to believe), and we know that coaches will be pleased to see this adjustment to the forecast. However, we caution them not to get too comfortable just yet.

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