Swinging For The Fences: Old Man Winter Looks To Go Deep

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The March Marauder is just beginning to come into existence. Out of the Great Lakes it will come and then pick up a big boost from a friendly piece of energy in the South.

Expect to see snow develop from west to east in the early morning hours. The snow will be light at first but should coat the roads for the morning commute. We will see light snow throughout the morning, and then in the afternoon the heavier and more persistent snow will kick in. We could see snowfall rates of 1-3" per hour between the hours of 3 PM and 10 PM. The snow will taper but continue into Thursday, with the blocked flow expected to give us several more inches of snow throughout the day on Thursday. At the end of it all we should see between 12 and 16 inches of snow, with 20" amounts possible in towns with east-facing slopes.

Here are all of the possibilities for the next few days and the odds of each event happening. For the ironic fun of it, we will extend some baseball metaphors. And don't work too hard making the numbers below work with the numbers in the True North Confidence Meter--these are separate entities.

The Grand Slam: Four full snow days, Wednesday through Monday. Yes, Monday. There's another coastal storm in the bullpen for Sunday night into Monday. Odds: 60:1.

The 3-Run Homer: Two snow days plus a delay (Friday) or early release (Wednesday). The two snow days would be either Wednesday/Thursday or Thursday/Friday. It could happen. Odds: 8:1.

The Triple Play: The Holy Trinity of snow day forecasting. Early release Wednesday, full snow day Thursday, and delay on Friday. The odds are low for such a rare event. Odds: 2:1.

Ground Rule Double: Early release Wednesday and full snow day on Thursday. Kind of boring, given the possible volume of this storm, but it puts a runner in scoring position. Odds: 1:5.

Caught Stealing at Third: Just a snow day on Thursday. Robbed of a shortened day on Wednesday; got a little greedy. 5:1.

Going forward for the rest of Tuesday, we will be very interested to see what Superintendents do about tomorrow. That is not an easy call at all so go easy on those poor folks. We could see a few early releases called in tonight, and we will of course get you up to speed as soon as that happens, if it happens.

And more maps to come later. Maps!