Sunday, March 4, 2018

Midweek Storm Potential

Winter is still very much a presence we will contend with this upcoming week. A storm with many of the same attributes as our most recent storm is set to impact the Berkshires on Wednesday. The window the GSD Staff is looking at is from late morning Wednesday to the early morning hours of Thursday.

Even though this most recent storm did not quite deliver the 8-10 inches forecasters were expecting for most of us--Florida Mountain did get a foot--it was still a very potent storm and wreaked havoc in the Northeast and mid-Atlantic states. The highest snow total near us was Grafton, NY at 20" and towns just to our southeast picked up three feet of snow.

While we do not think Wednesday's storm will set any records, it still is expected to be a moderate to heavy storm. Predictably, there is no model consensus on this storm yet, but there is colder air in place this time around so the nailbiting about snow/rain/mixed precipitation will not occur on Tuesday night.

Because the heaviest snow is expected to fall in the afternoon on Wednesday, we think there will be releases on Wednesday or full school days. Whenever there is a storm just on the heels of full snow days, Superintendents are more willing to risk it and get kids in schools for at least part of the day. So, as long as the timing of this storm does not shift too radically, we should see releases for Wednesday.

If the storm is later than we think, then delays and snow days are in play for Thursday.

We're in a turbulent pattern right now. Enjoy it because it will not last for more than a few weeks.


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