Sunday, November 13, 2022

Welcome To Winter, 2022-23! Delays Possible For Wednesday (Nov. 16)

Hello, fellow Flake Followers, Snow-a-holics, and Low Pressure System Lovers! We are back for another fun-filled winter in the Berkshires. Once again, we will be satisfying all of your snow day, delay, early release, and freeze day needs. With new technology and new GSD staff members, we are amped and ready to roll for the snow season.

And there's great news--snow is officially in the forecast this week. It's extremely late for us to get our first round of frozen precipitation--usually we at least see a flurry in late October--but the first snow this season could, in fact, be measurable. Delays are definitely in play for Wednesday! Right now we are expecting 1-3" for all of Berkshire County. Worse case scenario is an inch of wet snow on grassy areas and wet roads. Best case scenario is 3-4 inches with slushy roads that need to be cleared before school can start. We'll need some more information on just how cold it's going to get Tuesday night/early Wednesday morning before we settle in with a firmer prediction.

A promising mid-November forecast from NWS Albany. Delays possible for Wednesday.

Given how warm it's been, we think delays will be more the exception than the rule (25% chance), but we still have a 36 hours or so to modify the forecast. Stay posted for updates on this first winter weather producer. Eastern hill towns will have higher chances for delays.


As for the long-range forecast, we have bad news. We will be in a La Nina winter for the third straight year. Currently, the forecast for New England is slightly above normal temperatures with about average precipitation. That's the December-January-February outlook coming from NOAA. This forecast does not mean we won't get snow, but it could mean we will fall below our normal 60-70" seasonable totals.

These things can change, of course, but right now you should not expect a blockbuster winter. We'll have chances for several blockbuster storms throughout the season, but a big snow-producing winter is less likely.


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