Monday, February 5, 2018

Winter Storm Watch: Wednesday, February 7

The Wednesday storm is right on schedule with the NWS posting a Winter Storm Watch for the Berkshires and the entire region starting Wednesday at 7 AM and ending at 4 AM on Thursday.

With cold, dry air in place and the expected liquid precipitation to be between half an inch and three-quarters of an inch, we should see at least half a foot of snow for the Berkshires.

Not much change from NWS-Albany's earlier map, but it does raise expected snow totals slightly.
The main storm will come in from the Great Plains and then strengthen as it pulls in moisture from the ocean. Right now the heaviest period of snow should occur between noon and 8 PM on Wednesday.

This storm could very well be a bust if too much warm air sneaks its way into the Berkshires and gives us 2-4 inches of snow then rainy slush, but most of the models are calling for all snow from I-90 north.

Here's the juicy stuff. The GSD Staff expects this storm to play out in the following manner: The NWS will upgrade us to the Winter Storm Warning tomorrow. Tomorrow night (Tuesday) many schools will call in an early release for Wednesday, and, depending on the timing of the expected first flake, some schools will opt for the full snow day. It's also possible schools that went with the early release the night before will upgrade on Wednesday morning if heavy snow is expected as early as 11 AM. Our confidence level is definitely higher than it's been in a few weeks that the length of the school day will be affected for all schools because of this storm.

Not as good as our local mapmakers, but it's still looking good for a moderate to heavy snow event.
It's too early to know for sure when the storm will start, but the start time will be the deciding factor for Superintendents between a snow day and an early release. We should be able to pinpoint the timing better by tomorrow afternoon and night.

Whatever happens, we predict that no school in the area will have after school activities on Wednesday, including games and performances in the evening.


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