Turkey Day Snow

Many of you may have heard the word "nor'easter" mentioned in weather forecasts over the last few days. Yes, a nor'easter could possibly form for Thanksgiving and carry into the early hours of Friday, but it likely will be a weak one.

Should this storm develop--and the professional forecasters put this is a low probability scenario--it would mostly affect the eastern half of New England. We would see steady snow but not anything to get super excited about (3-5 inch range).

The North American model (snow prediction through Friday evening).

The good news is that we should see snow in parts of the Berkshires on Thursday no matter what the nor'easter does. The bad news is that it will impact the busy travel morning for those day-trippers looking to connect with Grandma for the holiday. 

As is common for this time of year, those in high elevation towns (above 1000') will be the ones more likely to see accumulating snow. Those of you who live in areas below 1000' will likely see a steady cold rain with wet snow mixing in. Because daytime temps are still well above freezing, don't expect much accumulation on the roads along Route 7 except in the usual high spots.

If the nor'easter somehow does over-perform and become much stronger than anticipated, it will pull cold air in from the north and northwest which will increase the likelihood of snow for all elevations in the Berkshires. If that situation develops, expect snow in the afternoon and evening on Thursday. But, again, forecasters are not optimistic about this potential development.

The European model (snow prediction through Friday evening). This model might have gotten into the holiday punch a few days early.

Whatever happens on Thursday, cold air looks to lock in over the weekend and into next week. Highs will be in the low 30s starting Saturday. Lows will be in the high teens. Winter!

We'll keep you posted should the models reveal more indicators that the storm will strength, especially for those holiday travelers. Both models are now showing snow, which they were not doing yesterday. And that's a good sign for all of us snow lovers.