Wednesday, February 7, 2024

February 13 Storm: Keeping Hope Alive

We hope you have enjoyed this week of sun and milder temps during the day. But that's not why you're here, so we are going to get right to it regarding next week's storm.

Simply put, there's some hope for a storm on Tuesday. The National Weather Services in both Boston and Albany have mentioned a coastal storm in their longer range forecasts. There are signals for a significant coastal storm developing late Monday into Tuesday, but the track of the storm is anything but certain at the moment. 

As far as the models go, they are all over the place. Last weekend they were both showing plowable snow for our area. Then, early this week, they showed little or no snow for our area for February 12-14. Today, though, things have swung back in our favor. The Euro is showing 4-5" for us by Tuesday night; the American is showing 10+ inches for the Berkshires.

We have our doubts about 10+ inches on Tuesday, but it's promising that the models are both showing snow. We will likely see the model "windshield wiper effect" over the next 3-4 days. The models will show snow today and tomorrow--and initiate the hype machine--but then adjust and take the storm more to our south. But then over the weekend we'll see the models begin to show moderate snow again for Tuesday. This flip-flopping from the models is very typical of coastal storms at this time of year.

Clickbait alert. This is the American model projection for Tuesday.

Right now a big snow event is something fun to hope for, but the GSD Staff is not getting too excited (yet). If models begin to come in with high snow totals run after run--model projections come out every six hours--then we'll start to guide you about snow day chances on Tuesday. 

Think good snow thoughts, and we'll have more info soon.

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