Friday Nor'easter: Afternoon Assessment

It looks like we're in for a sizable winter storm, but we're low-keying this one because: 1) there's still plenty that can wrong; and 2) it's not a good look to over-react. Let's act like we've done this before, people.

So, yes, we got the vaunted upgrade to the Winter Storm Warning that we were looking for once the 12 PM models were released. Now snow total predictions range between 4 and 10 inches. Expect more snow in the eastern and southern Berkshires and slightly lower amounts in other parts.

Things are looking up for South County.

The timing looks pretty good right now, with our snow window between 6 PM and 1 PM. We always shave off two hours on either end to determine the real time of the storm. If the snow does in fact end at 11 AM, and we get at least 5-6 inches, then it's hard to imagine many districts will be in session on Friday. But it's a big "if" with the threat of sleet and a changeover to plain rain during the morning commute still looming out there in the forecast.

This snow will be an absolute bear to shovel and/or snow blow. Snow-to-liquid ratios may be as low as 6:1, which means it will be a very wet, heavy snow. And if we get a stretch of sleet in there as well, that will make snow removal that much worse. Stretch those lower back muscles before you start!

We'll do one more report in the early evening hours and then it will be wait and see time.