Snow and/or Ice for Tuesday

We caught a break with the rain today and are enjoying a nice dry patch before it starts up again later tonight. Central NY is getting pounded as temps are well into the 40s and 50s in the region, but we in the Berkshires might avoid some of the flooding that was predicted.

But we know you're really only interested in Tuesday's event. Unfortunately, we haven't learned much new as of today. The Euro is still saying it will be colder while the US model says warmer. We have seen reports that the amount of precipitation will be there for a plowable snow (should we get snow). We're expected to get at least a quarter inch of liquid precipitation, which would yield 4 inches of wet snow.

It's no slam dunk, but a quarter inch of precipitation for Tuesday is looking probable. Image courtesy of NOAA.

The big X factor is ice. Several forecasters are saying we could be in for an extended period of sleet. Of course, the key will be the timing of the ice, which is looking advantageous for delays and/or snow days.

We're sure that by tomorrow at this time we'll have little more info about the track of the storm, but we can already tell you that any predictions we make will be low-confidence predictions given all the variables (track, temp, and amount of precip).