Rainy Weekend; Sleet/Snow for Tuesday

If you haven't gone gotten your tree yet, this weekend's rainy forecast is going to make that family event less fun than is typical. If you can wait until Sunday, that's a much better day that not-too-fat-not-too-tall Douglas fir.

We could see over an inch of rain Friday and Saturday. While we might see sleet at the onset of the storm on Friday, temps will again rise, approaching 50 degrees on Saturday, and it will rain hard Friday night and Saturday morning. What's left of the snow should be just about gone by Saturday night. After the rain comes through, expect high winds Saturday night and a return to more normal temps (low 30s) for the start of the week.

Only an inch for the Berkshires according to this model. Image courtesy of Henry Margusity. 

As for potential snow days, there is a lot of model disagreement about a Monday night/Tuesday storm. The US model takes the track to the north (warmer air/rain) while the Euro tracks it further south (colder air/sleet and snow). The lack of consensus means we're in a wait-and-see mode at the GSD Home Office. We're just not sure enough cold air will be in place to create enough snow by daybreak on Tuesday.

There is greater model consensus about a big storm on the 23rd. A few models yesterday were throwing out eye-popping numbers (2 feet +) for central New England. We do not think we'll get two feet of snow 10 days from now, but the chance for a major winter storm is very much in the conversation. Should we get another foot of snow, this will go down as one of the snowiest Decembers ever. And few people will mind having a white Christmas this year.

We'll do one update each day over the weekend as we monitor the chance for delays and snow days on Tuesday.