Sunday, January 30, 2022

Warming Up, Then Friday Storm

To all of those who have bought the GSD Staff a coffee or five--we're looking at you, JSG!--thanks so much. We really appreciate it, and it should allow the Best Staff Ever to power through to the month of February.

Euro map for Friday, by noon. What you see here is a classic stalled cold front. What isn't pictured is rain to the south of that snow boundary. Let's hope that boundary drops about 200 miles south.

We have a very interesting situation setting up for Friday. Unfortunately, it's anything but a certainty and we might have near miss part deux, this time to the north.

This storm is not going to be a nor'easter; precipitation will come from the west. Instead, a cold front is going to stall over our region. At the same time, warm air is going to force itself into New England from the southwest. This scenario will set up a warm air v cold air battle and amplify the precipitation. The range of possibilities is quite wide at the moment. In the Berkshires, we could have all rain for 36 hours. We could have mixed precipitation for a prolonged period. We could also have all snow, depending on where the boundary between the two air masses (cold and warm) sets up.

At the moment, the models (Euro and American) suggest that the boundary will sadly stay to our north: northern New York and New England will pick up a foot of snow or more Thursday into Friday and the Berkshires will see rain. But we will need to monitor this storm all week to see if there's any movement of the boundary south, which is a possibility.

Either way, Thursday and Friday will be wet/icy/snowy. There is  A LOT of moisture associated with this system, and we're pretty excited to see how things shape up by the end of the week.

No comments:

Post a Comment