Wednesday, January 12, 2022

Freezy Friday and a Snowy Monday (We Hope)

Tomorrow will be fairly spring-like--low 40s and breaks of sun--but it's all down hill after that. Friday will be seasonable, but the temperature will begin to plummet and the winds are going to kick up something wicked, as they say over in the east.

Friday night and Saturday morning will be most unpleasant. Positive single digits Friday night will become negative single digits (-2 to -5) by daybreak. And the wind will be absolutely howling, with some gusts up to 35 mph. If you go outside Saturday morning, don't expose any skin and limit how long you stay outside. And keep an eye on any pets and how they're managing the cold.

Guidance from NWS Albany regarding the wind chills.

Saturday will be bone-chilling--probably slightly colder than the big freeze day on Tuesday--and Saturday night won't be a picnic, either. 

Sunday night is when things get very interesting on the snow front. Yes, it's disappointing that Monday is a holiday for almost all schools in the county, but snow beggars can not be snow choosers.

The big variable is the track of the storm. Usually we worry about storms going out to sea. For this one, the concern may be that the storm tracks too far to our west. If the low pressure system hugs the coast and we stay on the west side of the storm center, we'll get pounded with heavy snow. If we end up on the east side, we'll start out as snow but then warm air will race in and change over to rain.

Accuweather is on board with the coast-hugging low pressure system.

The models this evening seem to be tilting slightly toward the coast-hugging track, which is the news we want to hear. We're not going to go ga-ga over this storm just yet--A) its on a holiday and B) we're still four days out--but it certainly is promising.

More to come.

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