We simply can not catch a break with predicted storms this winter. Our first storm back around Thanksgiving over-performed, but since then it has just been one disappointment after another.
The worst case scenario--the inland track of the storm toward our west--appears to be what's going to happen. Obviously, there is a fair amount of cold air in place, so we definitely will see some an initial burst snow once it starts.
The big unknown is the timeline of the changeovers from snow to mixed precipitation to rain. NWS Albany is communicating that the changeover will occur before sunrise for most of Berkshire County, but that prediction was made very early this morning and is likely subject to change.
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| We expect to see adjustments to this map later today and tomorrow. |
Right now we think we all will see between 2 and 5 inches of snow with higher amounts approaching a foot in the higher elevation towns of Northern Berkshire. The changeover to rain will be quicker in South County, and we could see a few hours of sleet midday especially in Hancock, Lanesboro, Cheshire, and Savoy and points north.
Precipitation from this storm will last throughout the day on Monday, and it won't surprise us at all if the rain changes back to snow for a brief period Monday night with light accumulations of an inch or less.
One other complicating piece to this puzzle is the wind. We are going to see very strong winds in the initial 5-6 hours of the storm. Gusts up to 50 mph are possible, so don't be surprised to see power outages here and there.
Monday looks like another day more suited to indoor activities. And of course weather fanatics are already scoping out another storm next Sunday. Sounds familiar.
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