Saturday, February 13, 2021

Storms (Plural) A-Comin'

Superintendents of the public schools get a break this week. With two possible sizable storms to contend with, they would have lost some sleep Tuesday and Friday morning.

Before the big(ger) storms arrive, we have a few nuisance events to deal with. We might get a dusting or half inch Saturday evening, and then a bit more snow very late Sunday night, especially in South County.

The big snow of the week looks like it will occur Monday afternoon into Tuesday. We already have a Winter Storm Watch in effect. It's a little unusual for NWS Albany to call a Watch this far out in front of a storm, so it's a good indication of their confidence that a moderate or heavy snow fall is on the way. Get the shovels ready!

Right now it looks like snow will start to fall midday on Monday and last all the way through a good portion of the day on Tuesday. At this point half a foot looks good, but most of the Berkshires will likely end up in an 8-12" zone. But there is a big "if" associated with this storm. Some models are showing a period of icing will occur. That will likely cut snow totals in half.

The current Euro model for Monday/Tuesday. That strong cut-off line indicates ice will be a factor for this storm.

Hopefully, the storm will not close vaccination sites in our area, but if it's as bad as is forecasted, then shots on Tuesday may need to be rescheduled.

We won't have to wait long for storm number two. It might not be as strong as the Monday/Tuesday storm, and the models are split on whether we'll see all snow or a shift from snow to ice to rain. If you prefer the all snow outcome, you are rooting hard for the Euro. Best case scenario (the Euro) would be 5-7 inches of snow by midday on Friday. Worst case (the North American) would be an inch or two and then a changeover to rain.

We'll have some forecast maps for you tomorrow for the big Monday/Tuesday event. More winter!

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