Sadly, we've been downgraded to a Winter Weather Advisory for tonight and tomorrow. We'll see a round of snow showers during the day (Monday) with some minor accumulation, but the actual storm will not arrive until well after dark this evening. Snow totals will be under 4 inches for everyone in Berkshire County, and sleet will mix in, further suppressing the amount of snow we'll see.
The simple fact is that the warm edge of the storm will push through the Berkshires into southern Vermont. A few days ago, that warm edge was only supposed to make it as far as the Mass/Conn border, but the storm track kept creeping northward.
Here's a comparison look at the Euro model from two days ago and then from this morning:
That's only a 90 mile movement, but for the set-up for this storm, its significance is the difference between a major storm and a practically a nuisance snow.
Even though snow totals are down, the sleet/ice bears watching. We are not forecasted to get too much ice (a little more than a tenth of an inch), but Tuesday morning's commute will be slow. By midday lingering snow showers and freezing drizzle will pull out of our area.
This storm's fizzle will allow us to zero in on the Thursday/Friday event, which at the moment is still on track and should bring 4-6" of new powder.
Here's what the North American model is predicting right now by Friday evening. This map will assuredly change, but the Euro and NA model are much more in line than they were for tonight's storm.
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