Tuesday, February 13 Storm: From Bad To Worse

This storm is now more likely to be a bust than one that affects the length of the school day. Even for South County the forecast is growing grimmer by the hour.

One thing we hear meteorologists talk about is that often the long term models can be way off, and the short term models tend to be accurate. Well, the short term models are showing a decreasing amount of snow for everyone.

So, unfortunately, we're going to scale back expectations yet again. We now think it's 35/65 in South County, limited in the central districts, and almost no chance in the northern districts. 

This is one of those short term model projections. This scenario would qualify as a "major bust."

With the start of the storm not expected until 6 or even 7 AM, Superintendents are going to have a hard time making the snow day call based on already dwindling snow projection numbers. We think Superintendents are, in fact, willing participants--given how few snow days they've called--but the facts are not going to lie: there just won't be enough justification for a full day off.

This does not mean the morning commute is going to be great. Snow should have started by the high school bus runs, especially south. Travel will be slow by the time the elementary school students need to report. Delays are possible but less likely because it will still be snowing at the later start time.

Do your favorite snow dance and pray to the Snow Gods, but do not be surprised if you have a full day of school tomorrow.