Friday, February 9, 2024

Tuesday, February 13 Storm: Encouraging News

The buzz for Tuesday is beginning to get louder, and the forecast models continue to evolve in a more positive direction. There's still a lot of uncertainty but today things are looking better.

We've seen a slight change in the models today. We're seeing more agreement between the European and the American, and the snow totals are significantly higher. You would think that the GSD Staff would be over-the-moon excited about this development but two key pieces of information are holding us back: 1) it's going to be very warm in the days leading up to the storm; 2) we're still over 80 hours away from the onset of the storm so things can literally go south. 

The American Model. Snow totals by Tuesday evening.

The Euro. Same time frame. Not so bad!

Please don't misunderstand us--we are definitely encouraged by today's developments. Snow days are certainly possible for Tuesday--but we're just not ready to ramp the Confidence Meter up to 90% at the moment.

One of our trusted weather gurus is Bernie Rayno of Accuweather, and we really like what he's saying about this storm. He has noted the trends and thinks the storm track will continue to move slightly more north over the next few days. For us, the norther the better!

Bernie Rayno's map (created today--Friday).

The GSD Staff has a busy weekend with yet another agricultural conference (in western Mass this weekend), so our windows for posting are limited. We are hoping to get an update out midday tomorrow, but it may be a short one. At the latest we'll update Sunday morning with more comprehensive information about the possible snow day for Tuesday.


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