The Winter Storm Warning is still in effect for South County, and the Watch is still hanging on for dear life in North County, but this storm is definitely headed south literally and metaphorically.
Many professional weather folks were surprised to see the modeling of the storm change so rapidly early this morning. What looked like a sure-fire 6" storm for all of the County suddenly turned into a partial bust.
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| The American model for tomorrow. Not great! |
Boston and Springfield have already cancelled classes for tomorrow, but we think most Berkshire County Superintendents will wait it out until tomorrow to see if and when the snow starts to fall.
Despite the discouraging runs of the models this morning, South County schools should still be in line for full snow days. We're seeing many maps of a projected 3-6 inches. And the timing is perfect so Berkshire Hills, Southern Berkshire, Richmond, and even Lenox and Lee should be enjoying a day off.
Given the timing and how messy the morning commute could be, we won't be surprised to see Pittsfield and Central Berkshire get the day off as well but it's in no way a certainty. We've had snow days with only 2-3" of snow this year, so odds are 50/50 for the middle of the county.
Mount Greylock, North Adams, and Hoosac Valley could very well be the big losers. There's going to a sharp cut-off with the snow line. Some maps are showing 1-3 inches in the northwest corner, and others are even showing no snow for Williamstown and North Adams. That's a cruel twist in this relatively snow-less winter.
Simply put: the farther south and east you go, the better chance for a snow day. The farther north and west you go, the lesser chance for a snow day.
Next update: Monday, late afternoon.
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