Well, right on cue, the windshield wiper effect has kicked in, and here is the latest forecast map from NWS Albany:
That's quite a change from yesterday's dire 1" prediction for Berkshire County.
Should the models continue to push the storm center closer to the coast--which is the reason our snow totals have gone up considerably--we will see this Watch become a Warning by midday on Sunday. A quote we really enjoyed earlier today out of Albany is that "this storm system has overachiever potential given recent model trends."
So, when will the first flakes fall? Right now--and this could of course change a few hours in either direction--the storm should start early Monday afternoon in South County and later in the afternoon in North County. It should snow all Thursday night and for a good portion of the day on Tuesday.
Snow days and remote days are now much more likely for Tuesday. Given that snow will be falling on Tuesday morning and continuing throughout the day, delays seems unlikely. Back in the old days, we would still be cautious about going all in for a snow day for all students of Berkshire County just yet, and we would likely set the Confidence Meter at a healthy 66%.
Based on the snow days and remote days called last week by our local Superintendents, we will have a smattering of snow days--smaller mountain towns, Lenox--and the rest will go fully remote (if they aren't they there already). And there's an outside chance that we could see a benevolent Superintendent call a snow day for students who are fully remote.
And just for fun, we'll pass this nugget along. We've seen some chatter about the Canadian model for this storm and it's a doozy. Before you dismiss it entirely, the Canadian model did predict December's big storm very accurately, so maybe the Canadian is only good at blockbuster storms? We'll just have to see.
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| Bring it on, Canadian model! |
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