We've been upgraded. The Winter Storm Watch is now a Winter Storm Warning, which means forecasters are even more certain the Berkshires will be blanketed with snow. Get out the high snow boots.
The NWS forecast is now for 5 to 10 inches of snow for the Berkshires. The wind is expected to gust well over 40 MPH. The duration of the storm has not changed--it's still on from midnight tonight to 3 AM on Saturday. We are encouraged by this development, but it's still going to come down to the timing of the start of the snow, which is very much a mystery, even this late in the game.
Here are the likely scenarios:
1. Superintendents roll the dice and hope the snow holds off until the afternoon. Full school day.
2. It looks like the ride home from school will be rough. Early release.
3. It's snowing at 5 AM--full snow day.
This will be a very hard decision for Superintendents, and we expect we'll see quite a range of decisions in the morning. Because of all the uncertainty around this storm, we probably won't see too many decisions called tonight. But we've been very wrong about this part of the prediction game before. We still think that early releases will be likely for most schools, and a few schools will get the full snow day. But we won't be surprised at all if two or three unlucky schools have a full day of school.
We'll have one more post tonight to see if we provide any more insight about what will happen tomorrow morning.
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