Wintry Mess for Wednesday

There's no other way to put it--we have a mess headed our way for Wednesday.

The number of variables for this storm does not give us a lot of confidence in its achieving its potential, but there is enough moisture out there for a moderate to heavy snowfall. The timing looks great as the storm will start late Tuesday night or shortly after midnight. Unfortunately for pure snow totals, the temps will be around freezing so sleet and freezing rain might mix in. The good news is that our friend the Euro model is predicting colder temps (and all snow for the northern Berkshires).

This Tuesday-into-Wednesday part of the storm is coming from the Ohio Valley, which doesn't usually bring us the dumpster-loads of snow we would like to see. Yet, there is the potential for a secondary coastal storm to develop during the day on Wednesday, which would prolong the storm and bring us more snow later in the day on Wednesday.

If the storm doesn't fizzle, we'll see better chances of delays in North County than in South County. We're less confident about a snow day because the snow/sleet would likely stop mid-morning before the snow returns in the afternoon (if the coastal low develops).

We would be a lot happier at the GSD Office if these two storms joined forces, a la Diamond/Nemo, but that scenario won't happen this time around.

A delay is a very real possibility for Wednesday. We'll see at least a Winter Weather Advisory at some point tomorrow, and if the forecast improves slightly, we'll be blessed with a Winter Storm Watch for our area (and raise our snowday confidence).

These late-seasoners are complicated, so you'll have to check back throughout the day tomorrow to get the latest info. This will be one of those storms that won't really reveal itself and its potential until tomorrow evening.