Now we can focus on the big storm headed our way for Monday night through Tuesday night. NWS Albany has already issued a Winter Storm Watch for Berkshire County for 1-2 feet (!) of snow. And the first NWS Albany map for this storm is an absolute doozy:
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| That's a lot of red. |
The reason for this map is that the main models are still showing the potential for 18" of snow for most residents in the County. We ultimately think that this number is too high mostly because of the relatively warm temperatures we'll see in the next few days. When the snow falls, it will be a heavy wet snow with some rain mixing in in lower elevations. The liquid to snow ratio will be quite low, so we'll probably "only" see 8-12 inches in the County.
As you know, 8-12" is more than enough snow for a snow day. It looks highly unlikely that students and teachers will have to report to school on Tuesday. There should be a few inches on the ground by daybreak Tuesday, and the forecast will be for moderate snow throughout the day.
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| The probability for 8+ inches of snow (as of noon on Tuesday). |
If this storm busts, it will because of the storm track--through Connecticut and eastern New England--and we'll see a mix of rain and snow that puts us in the 3-6" range.
If we hit the jackpot--and it's not out of the question--we will see 12-16" in the valleys and 18-24" in the higher elevations. And the snow would not end until after midnight on Tuesday, which means some communities will have delays and a second snow day on Wednesday. Twenty inches of snow is a lot of snow to move around.
There's also going to be significant winds with this storm, which could lead to power outages later in the day on Tuesday and Tuesday night.
Much more to come!
(And if you didn't see that GSD stickers are back, well they are. Details here.)
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