Thursday, March 9, 2023

A Looming Nor'easter

Yesterday, we mentioned two chances for the snow in the next few days. More information has come in, and the chances for plowable snow has increased for the Saturday and Tuesday storms.

The Saturday event is more of a minor perturbance, but the storm system is showing signs that it wants to track more to the north. We should see a snowy start to the day on Saturday, with a few inches in Southern Berkshire County and a ground covering in the north. The snow should end early in the afternoon.

The big weather newsmaker is the potential nor'easter for Monday night/Tuesday. Yesterday, the models were far apart, but today that is no longer the case. The Euro model is showing the potential for 18-22" of snow, and the North American is now clocking in with a 10-14" dumping.

The Euro (by the end of the day on Tuesday).

Both models are probably overplaying this storm, but it's looking more and more likely that a 6+" storm will hit the Berkshires on Tuesday. The big "if" with this storm is the air temperature. The ground temperature will be above freezing at the start (Monday afternoon/night), so we could see some rain mix in in valley locations before the colder air aloft gets sucked down due to the falling precipitation. Rain will obviously lower snow total. This is the one area we're concerned about that could wreck the snow party.

North American also now showing the potential for heavy snow.

It's very hard not to get too excited so many days out, but we could see the biggest snow of the season on Tuesday. We'll be working around the clock monitoring the latest reports so you can plan accordingly for next week.

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