Storm E Heading South

It's definitely going to snow on Monday, but it looks like the brunt of the storm will impact areas to our south. NYC, New Haven and Providence will be the big winners for this storm. 

Right now we see the storm beginning in the wee hours of Monday and as late as dawn for Northern Berkshire County. South County should see close to 6 inches; North County should see about 4 inches. Given the shift in timing of this storm (it's arriving late now), we think there will be a few cancellations south and nothing much happening up north (Pittsfield and up).

We still will be monitoring this storm closely. The amount of moisture predicted for our area is lower than yesterday so that's we suddenly are bearish on this storm. 

More tomorrow. Although we fundamentally do not condone such negative attitudes, we know a lot of people are not upset that this storm is heading south. 

More on the Storm-E Situation for Monday

It's a neck-and-neck battle between Elle and Eunice for the storm name. Just over 48 hours left to vote!

Gray skies and snow later today. Some parts of the Berkshires could see 3" but most will be in the 1" range.

Snow bands. 11 AM Radar (Thursday)

These snow bands are moving east-northeast and will impact us at some point today.

We have a wind chill advisory for the overnight hours tonight that will end at 9 AM Friday. Friday is setting up to be an uncomfortably cold day for this time of year (highs in the upper teens).

As for the big storm that approaches...

The timing of the storm is coming into clearer focus, and that timing will be a factor that works in our favor. The track of the storm--unfortunately--is very much up in the air. It looks like the bulk of the moisture is shifting to our south. We still could see 8" out of this storm, but the 12" band looks like it will kick Connecticut and Rhode Island right in the face.

Before you get too bummed out, two things to remember: 1) 8" is plenty of snow to cancel school, especially if the timing is right, which it will be. 2) Storm Charley (early March) faked weather prognosticators out and delivered much higher snow totals to the north. This storm and the Charley storm are similar in many ways.

We are not super-confident about a snow day Monday, but another day off from school is well within the realm of possibility. It's a 50/50 proposition at this stage in the developments.

We'll be blogging from Connecticut tomorrow as the GSD staff heads off to Nerd-Fest 2014, the annual Metereological Conference/Dance Party. We'll see what they have to say about Storm E down there.

Keep the High Boots Handy

No real new news on the Alberta clippers for today and Thursday. They'll produce nuisance snow before it gets very cold on Friday (highs in the teens).

Now for the next big thing...

Here's a model-produced map of forecasted snow totals through Tuesday (March 4) of the CONUS (Continental United States). The European model produced this estimate, and regular readers know that the Euro model has been the model of choice this winter.

Thanks to Henry Margusity at Accuweather for this map.

It's a little hard to read, but the burgundy/purple area over western Massachusetts indicates we will see a foot of snow by Tuesday. Are we looking at a double snow day scenario again? Will the winter of 13-14 be remembered for the year that Old Man Winter threw down a triple double?

We're definitely getting ahead of ourselves with this kind of questioning. While it's certainly possible that we'll see 8-12" of snow at some point between Sunday night and Tuesday morning, the many variables of this storm system could make it a big bust. We'll know everything we need to know by Saturday.

We do like the early indications we're getting from forecasting models and meteorologists, but we urge you to keep your excitement in check. And for those party-poopers out there who are, like, so done with winter--it looks like you'll have to suffer through another major event.