Many of us in the Berkshires are getting to enjoy a few scattered flakes today (Sunday). It's a nice mood-setter if you are out and about getting a tree or setting up your home decorations.
The big news, of course, is the potential coastal storm for Tuesday. The more information we've been able to gather, the more likely it appears we'll be seeing 4+ inches of snow on Tuesday starting around 5 AM and lasting throughout the day and into Tuesday night.
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| Image courtesy of NWS Albany |
Right now, we think it's a 50/50 proposition on whether or not school will be cancelled. We'll bump the early release up to 60%, but not a lot of Superintendents like the release, so for those districts it will be a full snow day or nothing.
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| This map shows our chances (70-80%) of getting 6+" of snow from the storm. |
The things that meteorologists and models appear to agree on are that 1) there is a enough cold air in place for all snow; 2) the snow will start before or right around daybreak on Tuesday. What is less agreed upon is the track of the center of the low pressure system. Further south and away from the coast means less snow. Closer to the coast will allow more moisture to enter the equation and give us more snow.
One model we've seen is showing almost an inch of liquid precipitation. If we use our standard snow-to-liquid ratio of 10 inches for every 1 inch of liquid, we should have no problem getting 6+ inches of snow.
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| This map shows a 70-90% chance for a Winter Storm Warning for the Berkshires (red areas). Map courtesy of NOAA. |
It's only been good news so far today, so keep thinking snowy thoughts and locate those boots, shovels, and sleds.
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