Tuesday, January 17, 2023

Snow x3

Signs of life from Old Man Winter. 

The GSD Staff now has its collective eye on not one, not two, but three separate chances for measurable snow in the next 10 days.

Up first is a complicated weather system for Thursday evening and Friday (all day), and the Friday's commute could be impacted. Mixed precipitation is possible from I-90 north starting Thursday afternoon and evening, and then we could see steadier light snow in Northern Berkshire county throughout the day on Friday. There's not a ton of moisture with this two-phase storm, but models are showing anywhere from 1" and as much as 4-5". Delays for schools in the northern half of the county are possible.

The North American model for this Friday's messy storm. Timing is everything.

On deck is another storm for Monday. This one will approach from the Ohio Valley. The question will again be: will there be enough cold air in place for an all-snow event? Right now the Euro model says yes and the North American model says hold your horses. If it does pan out, we could see 6 inches throughout the county Sunday night into Monday. 

The Euro project for snow Sunday night/Monday.

In the hole is storm #3. This one is expected to impact New England Thursday night into Friday (the 27th). This storm looks like a more traditional nor'easter. Currently the Euro and North American models are in better agreement, but both models are favoring a heavy snow event for coastal New England. We would still get snow, but we'd be in a 3-6" band not the 12-18" band that Boston might get.

The Euro for Friday, Jan. 27th. This map will surely change and totals will come down or the storm will shift east out over the ocean.

In terms of confidence, we're hopeful but not overly optimistic about this Friday. We are definitely keen to learn more about Sunday night's storm, and no one really knows what's going to happen next Friday so we're not going to waste any energy on that one just yet.

We're just happy the conversation is turning toward storms and potential snow days. There will be plenty to talk about over the next ten days, and we look forward to bringing you the latest developments.

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