Wednesday, February 12, 2020

No News Is Good News -- Snow to Affect AM Commute on Thursday

All systems are go for our latest snow/sleet event.

NWS Albany announced the Winter Weather Advisory for all of Berkshire County in the wee hours of the night. One to three inches with some icing is expected in South County while 3-5" is expected in North County. Higher elevation towns once again will likely be the big winners tomorrow.

The two-hour delay for most students is a safe bet. Snow might be transitioning to sleet and rain in South County around 7 AM, but there should be enough wintery slop on the road to delay the start of school. For schools north of Pittsfield, the snow should linger longer, giving those students a higher chance for a delay. Also, any Massachusetts school on the Vermont border has 50/50 chance for a snow day. Southern Vermont schools will have a better chance for a snow day than a delay.

Delays likely.
A big x-factor tomorrow will be how many phone calls your Superintendent received on Tuesday about the delay/snow day decision. If many parents were in your Superintendent's ear on Tuesday about how bad road conditions were when students eventually traveled to school, then you will have a greater chance for a full snow day due to the Once-Bitten-Twice-Shy Theorem of Snow Day Prognostication (Snowowski and Graupel 2012).

We'll post a few maps later this evening once the last few runs of the models come in. And we are really hoping for a last minute adjustment that bumps up totals--similar to Monday night's late evening fireworks--and if that were to happen, then snow days will be more the rule than the exception.


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