Winter's Back!

We have picked up a solid 3" of perfect snowball/snowperson snow (as of 4:30 PM) at the GSD Home Office in Williamstown, and the radar would indicate another half inch or so is still to fall.

Temps were slightly lower than expected at the onset, which allowed the snow to stick to roads quicker and create slick driving conditions.

The snow should end tonight by 8 PM at the latest, so that means, alas, that there's no chance for a delay or snow day on Thursday.

We know some of you out there begin to lose interest in more snow this time of year--and we can hardly blame you--but more snow is in the forecast for Saturday. The models are in agreement that it will snow this weekend, but there's significant spread in the forecasts. The American model shows another 3-4" snowfall for the Berkshires; the Euro is coming in hot with a 6-9" projection for our area. 

Loving the Euro forecast for Saturday. It's highly unlikely we'll get this much snow, but you never know with historically less predictable March storms.

Right now it would appear that the bulk of the snow will fall on Saturday in the afternoon and evening. Regardless of what happens around here, ski country to our north is going to get to extend its season if this storm does what it's supposed to do.

We'll have more detailed analysis for the weekend snow starting tomorrow.

Wednesday Snow

It won't be snowing on the way to school tomorrow, but it will be snowing on the way home. 

We are expecting 1-3 inches in Berkshire County on Wednesday, with chances for more snow in South County and in the east-facing slopes. Snow total predictions have been steadily rising over the past few days, so this minor storm does have some over-performance potential. Snow is expected to start between 10 and 12 AM.

NWS Albany.

Because there isn't very much cold air in place, the snow will initially melt on the roadways and sidewalks, but it will begin to accumulate on grassy surfaces. Eventually, probably for the evening commute home from traditional 9-5 offices, the roads will begin to get coated, so it could be slick out there for a few hours (4-8 PM).

It's certainly possible evening activities (i.e. high school basketball games) could be impacted/postponed.

And the snow for the weekend is still very intriguing. There's lots of chatter on weather social media about the possibility of a moderate snow storm once the changeover from rain occurs. More to follow.

Chances for Snow This Week (March 7-13)

It's been a few days since we've last written due to the end of vacation week and all the mild weather we've been experiencing. We definitely do no encourage you to put the shovels away just yet, but temps in the 60s sure felt nice on Sunday.

Winter, though, is still lurking out there somewhere, and we should see the Old Man make an appearance or two over the next few weeks.

First up is a chance for lake effect snow on Tuesday. A few flakes may make it all the way across New York state and coat the ground in the Berkshires, so don't be surprised to see a flurry or two.

Snow potential for Wednesday (European model). The American model keeps the snow well to our south.

On Wednesday, the northern fringe of a storm system to our south could spread snow showers and even an inch or two over southern portions of the county (see above). That snow will likely take place during the day on Wednesday if it happens at all.

On the weekend, we could see rain change to snow on Saturday. We could get a minor coating or we could get several inches (2-4)--it all depends on how deep the cold air gets sucked into the region due to the storm. In terms of the impact on travel, the Saturday storm is the one we're most interested in monitoring.

Saturday into Sunday snowfall potential

And in the "long, long shot" category, we are seeing some models predicting a sizable nor'easter for the 20th. We've been down this road many times this winter--so don't even think about getting excited--but it is nice to know that one big storm is still within the realm of possibility.