Delays and Closings for Monday, January 29

We have snow showers at the GSD Home Office and snow will end in a few hours. The following schools have reported delays or closings:

TWO-HOUR DELAY (updated 7:18 AM):

Adams-Cheshire

BART

Berkshire Country Day

Berlin (NY)

Central Berkshire

Clarksburg

Farmington River

Gabriel Abbott (Florida)

Hancock

Hillcrest
Hoosick Falls (NY)

Lee

Mount Greylock

North Adams
New Lebanon (NY)

Pine Cobble

Pittsfield

Richmond

Southern Berkshire

Stamford (VT)

SNOW DAY:

Emma Miller (Savoy)

Winter Storm: Sunday Evening Report

Big, heavy flakes are falling at the GSD Home Office (as of 9 PM) with about a half an inch to an inch of slush on the ground. Snow is beginning to accumulate on the roads.

We're going to cut to the chase: delays are still possible but we think a majority of schools will have a full day of school tomorrow (unlike last Wednesday). We'll have several hours of wet snow this evening until it tapers off to snow showers and light snow after midnight. Road crews should have enough time to get the roads clear in time for the regular start of the school day. Hill towns will still see higher totals, but valleys will be limited to 2 inches or so.

WNYT's snow map. Eastern hill towns have the best chance for delays/snow days.

But we do have one cancellation to report. Emma Miller in Savoy will be closed tomorrow. 

We'll run a more complete list tomorrow should more schools call in delays and snow days.

Winter Storm Warning & Winter Weather Advisory for Sunday/Monday, Jan. 28-29

Good morning! 

Half of Berkshire County is in a Winter Storm Warning, and half is in a Winter Weather Advisory. We are seeing snow now, but there's a good chance it will change to rain soon and then back to snow this evening.

There are two parts to the storm. The current part of the storm will bring snow then a warm-up and rain. As the secondary low pressure system forms off the coast later this afternoon, cold air from the north will get pulled into our area and that's when the changeover back to snow will occur.

Not enough snow for full snow days tomorrow, if this map proves to be accurate.

The problem is that the more potent part of the storm will occur during the day today. The less potent part will occur this evening into tomorrow morning.

So, all the factors being gathered together, we think that--if there even is a school day-shortening decision--Superintendents will go with a delay tomorrow, except for the high elevation towns on the east side of the county who could get full snow days (which you've heard before).

But we're still holding out hope for full snow days for many. If the storm over-performs, we could see 6-12 inches for the County. And as long as 5-6" are on the ground and it's still snowing when the Superintendents move into action tomorrow morning, we could see full snow days.

If the storm over-performs, then snow days are likely on Monday.

You can tell that there's still a lot of uncertainty with this event due to the relatively warm temps. But keep your ears and eyes open. The GSD Staff's agricultural conference continues today, so the next update will not be until this evening (between 8 and 9 PM).

Stay safe out there!

Winter Storm Watch for Sunday/Monday, January 29-30

We missed out on delays this morning (except for Stamford, VT), but we are very intrigued about the new developments for our late weekend storm. This afternoon (Friday) NWS Albany caught us off slightly off guard and threw out a Winter Storm Watch for Sunday into Monday.

The Watch duration is 6 AM Sunday to late morning Monday. The reason for the Watch is an increase in anticipated precipitation totals for the Berkshires. With 0.5" or more of liquid expected and a 10:1 liquid-to-snow ratio, NWS Albany decided to post the Watch.

The Watch can go one of two ways. We could get an upgrade to a Winter Storm Warning, which means 6+ inches for the region. We could also transition to a Winter Weather Advisory, which means snow totals below the 6" threshold. 

NWS Boston

Higher elevations towns will get higher snow totals with this event because there will be too much air in the valleys for it to really pile up. But eventually the cold air will seep into the valley and allow those lower elevation towns to get at least 2-4 inches. A big uncertainty is how early the transition from rain to snow will occur in the valleys.

As always the timing is crucial. With the end of the storm expected to be around 10 AM Monday, the timing is good but not ideal. If the storm ends earlier than expected--which is often the case--then school children will get delays but not full snow days.

Given the information we have right now, we have a feeling that the Winter Storm Watch is only going to become a Winter Weather Advisory tomorrow except for high elevation towns on the east side of the County. This does not mean that we won't get snow days on Monday. Some schools will. But the majority of us will see delays.

At least that's what we're saying right now.

Just a heads up to the faithful GSD readers that the Staff will be at one of our winter agricultural conferences in Boston this weekend. We will still be monitoring the weather (duh), but we probably won't be able to put up a new post at this site until Sunday morning. 

If any big changes occur tomorrow, we'll throw a quick update on the socials--Facebook (@GreylockSnowDay) and Instagram (@greylock_snow_day).

Wishful Thinking: Friday Delay and Monday Snow Day

We have two school-shortening weather opportunities in the next few days.

This afternoon, NWS Albany issued a Winter Weather Advisory for early Friday morning due an ice threat. Before you get too excited for a delay, this Advisory is for high elevation towns (1500' and above). This means the hilltown elementary schools, Adams-Cheshire, and Central Berkshire would have the best chance for an ice delay.

NWS Albany ice forecast for Friday morning.

And we are keeping an eye or two on a developing snow situation for Sunday night into Monday. The timing looks really good, but the question is: will cold air move in quickly enough to allow the snow to pile up? Models from earlier today were showing a range of 3 inches (American) to 8 inches (European). The fact that both models are showing snow for Monday is encouraging.

The American model for Monday. If the timing is right, this could be just enough to cause snow days.

There's a lot that could still change with this late weekend storm, but our interest is definitely piqued at the GSD Office.

We'll run a list of delays tomorrow should we see a few.

Delays for Wednesday, Jan. 24

Light snow is still falling at the GSD Home Office and the radar shows sleet moving into the county for the next hour or so. Most schools in the County have opted for the delayed the start of school today, but a few have upgraded to the full snow day (!).

TWO-HOUR DELAY (updated: 8:44 AM):

Adams-Cheshire

Berkshire Country Day

Berkshire Waldorf

Berlin (NY)

Central Berkshire

Emma Miller

Gabriel Abbott

Hancock

Lee

Lenox
Mohawk Trail

Mount Greylock

New Lebanon (NY)

North Adams

Pine Cobble

Richmond

SNOW DAY:

BART

Hillcrest

Pittsfield

Stamford (VT)

Winter Weather Advisory -- Tuesday and Wednesday, Jan. 23-24

 A Winter Weather Advisory will go into effect starting at noon today. The Advisory is good until 7 PM Wednesday, which means an increased chance for delays for schools.

There is not a lot of moisture with this storm, but because ice might get involved, NWS Albany decided to go with the Advisory. 

NWS Albany

It will be the higher elevation spots that have the better chance for a delay tomorrow (northeast mountain elementary schools; Central Berkshire; Adams/Cheshire). With air temps already above freezing today, we will see 1-2" of wet snow this afternoon (Tuesday) and then a period of icing (mainly sleet) before it changes over to all rain on Wednesday.

One reason for the increased chance of a delay: any snow/sleet today will help bring colder air down with it and drop the temperature to freezing or slightly under. For the Wednesday morning commute, temps will be around 30 in most locations in the Berkshires.

If there is any wintry precipitation at all tomorrow morning--even if it is very light--we could see many Superintendents going with a delay tomorrow to compensate for their decision last Tuesday not to cancel school. Conditions were not great in the afternoon that day and Supers do not want to make that mistake twice.

Stay tuned as there's a good chance a few districts will have delays tomorrow.

Snow This Week -- Jan. 22-26

It is winter, so the GSD Staff hopes you're enjoying the cold temps. The sub-freezing temps are keeping the snow around, and at least there is enough for sledding and some skiing.

As is often the case, we have good news and bad news for the week ahead. We could see a few more inches of snow on Tuesday, but that snow is going to change to rain on Wednesday and Thursday. There's not a lot of liquid associated with the snow portion so totals will be light, and it's going to be highly annoying to see the warm-up midweek and the return of mud season.

The Euro model's prediction for Tuesday afternoon snow.

As the precipitation moves in on Tuesday, there will be enough cold air at ground level to give us a period of snow and sleet. We could see 1-2 inches during the afternoon on Tuesday. Afternoon activities are definitely in jeopardy on Tuesday, especially if sleet mixes in. On Wednesday, the warm air will have lifted into our region and the precipitation will fall as rain. We are then expected to see rain on Wednesday and Thursday (and maybe even Friday morning) and temps soaring up into the high 40s. We're very unhappy with this development.

Even though it's only mid-January, we are starting to get the sense that we're running out of time for this winter to be a productive one. Right now Old Man Winter is getting a D- grade. He has a chance to turn it around--not unlike some high school seniors we may know--but time is of the essence. Hopefully we'll have better news in the next week or so as we round the corner and head into February.

Berkshire County Shut Out

Even though only two schools in Berkshire County had the full snow day today, the staff at GSD still stands by its 50% prediction for snow days today. If anything, 50% was too cautious as most Superintendents--if they were to answer honestly--probably would have kept students home or released them early due the road conditions in the afternoon. From firsthand experience, the roads were not great in Northern Berkshire County when the high-schoolers got let out. We also read reports that Pittsfield roads were bad during the afternoon.

The silver lining is that odds will move slightly in our favor the next time around. As they say: once bitten twice shy. Unfortunately, we're not sure Old Man Winter will be gnashing his teeth any time soon.

Model prediction for snow throughout the day on Friday.

Friday's snow will be very light and then we have our eye on a more potent storm midweek. Right now the American model is showing moderate snow for Wednesday but the Euro is not. We have deep concerns that the storm next week will be mostly rain, given the forecast for temps in the 30s. Of course we'll be monitoring it intently, but currently we have low confidence for a snow day next week.

Closings & Cancelled Afternoon Activities for Tuesday, Jan. 16

After a lull in the action this morning with spotty snow showers, snow is expected to pick up in intensity throughout the afternoon. The drive home from school will be slow in Berkshire County.

Superintendents showed surprising solidarity today and did not cave. Pretty much every school to our western, eastern, and northern border cancelled school for the day.

NO AFTER-SCHOOL ACTIVITIES (updated at 1:55 PM):

Central Berkshire

Emma Willard

Mount Greylock
Pittsfield

SNOW DAY 

Berkshire Waldorf
Berlin (NY)

Emma Miller
Hoosick Falls (NY)
Mohawk Trail
New Lebanon (NY)
Southwest Vermont SU

Winter Weather Advisory for Tuesday, Jan. 16

Earlier today we said we'd update if there were any new and exciting develops, and guess what? There are some new and exciting developments.

First, a Winter Weather Advisory will go into effect between 10 PM this evening until 7 PM tomorrow. We're very surprised by the 10 PM start because that typically means snow will start around 11 PM or midnight. Snow on the ground and still falling when the Superintendent wakes up is never ever a bad sign.

Second, the models are indicating the track of the storm to be farther west and closer to the coast. This means more liquid precipitation for our area, which of course means more snow.

Third, it's going to be cold tonight--mid-teens--which means the snow to liquid ratio will be above the typical 10 inch-to-1 inch ratio. A quarter inch of liquid would typically yield 2-3 inches of snow, but with this cold air hanging about a quarter inch could get us to 4-5 inches.

A model projection for liquid precipitation for tomorrow. One inch of liquid should yield 15-18" of snow.

So, given those changes, we're going to bump up the chance for a full snow day to 50%. This means you have a 50% chance of a snow day due to the improved conditions. This also means that we think 50% of schools in the county will have a snow day.

Tomorrow morning we'll post a running list of school cancellations should Superintendents decide to call them in. 

Do your favorite snow dance tonight before going to bed to improve our chances!

Snowy Tuesday (Jan. 16)

The cold air is here. We dropped all the way to 9° at the GSD Home Office this morning, but temps will rise up into the mid-20s in advance of storm system that will pass by us to the south tomorrow.

We are seeing indications that there may be more snow on Tuesday than was expected a few days ago. NWS Albany is showing most of Berkshire County getting 3 inches tomorrow. (NWS Boston is showing a potential for as much as 6", but that's only if the storm way over performs.) 

But the timing is proving to be in an awkward middle zone. 

Snow could be falling for the run of the high school buses in South County, but most will not see snow on the ground until the elementary school buses are running. Light snow will continue for several hours before intensifying in the afternoon, making the return home from school challenging. 

This is going to be a very tricky call for Superintendents. Your more careful, conservative Super may gift their students with a full snow day. The rationale would be A) we haven't had many (or any) snow days; and B) I don't want to deal with the "why didn't you..." emails as a result of snow-covered roads at the time of dismissal. 

Your more "hearty New Englander" Superintendent will probably go with the full day of school. Their rationale is A) we just had a day off yesterday; and B) C'mon, people, it's only 3 inches of snow. Back in my day..., etc., etc. 

So, the GSD staff has scrambled up the Confidence Meter from yesterday. We now think that releases and snow days will be the calls tomorrow, but there is not a high chance of either happening. 

Even though the early release is like the "right" call for tomorrow, just remember that early releases are a giant headache. They work best when you know you have a big storm coming and you can call them the night before. Parents do not appreciate the day-of-the-storm early release call (unless they get to get out of work early as well (!)).

One thing you can pretty much bank on is that after school activities will be cancelled again tomorrow.

The NWS Boston "If the storm over performs" map. 

Stay alert. Maybe they'll be release calls tonight (unlikely). Maybe the snow starts earlier and we all get snow days (fingers crossed). We'll update if we learn anything new and noteworthy.

Snow This Week (Jan. 15-22)

It's not every day we get a emergency alert about snow squalls, and it was certainly merited. 

At the GSD Home Office, we had white out conditions from two separate squalls. As of 4 PM Sunday, we picked up 1.5" of snow. For the rest of the afternoon and evening we might see a scattered flake or two in Berkshire County, but accumulating snow for Sunday is likely over.

The noticeable trend is going to be the change in temperature as it will continue to plummet throughout the afternoon and evening. It was near 30 this morning in Williamstown, but we are expecting low teens by Monday morning. And according to the long range forecast, we will not get above freezing for another 9 days. This is great news for the ski areas and lovers of pond skating.

But we know you've read this far only for snow storm content. Here's what's coming up. It's not great news but it's not all bad either:

*Tuesday's morning commute could be messy. We won't get a lot of snow on Tuesday (1-3"), but NWS Albany is warning about the timing of the snow. So, there is a growing chance for delays on Tuesday morning.

*We could also see a round of light snow Friday into Saturday. A coastal storm will be forming, but it looks like it will go out to sea. Still, it will come close enough to our area to give us a few inches starting in the middle of the day on Friday. Early releases that day are highly unlikely.

The American model's projecting for next Friday's storm. It's probably too juiced for NJ and NYC, but you can see it's going to miss us to the south.

Right now the GSD Staff is saying it's a 30/70 proposition for delays on Tuesday. The key will be the timing, and we should have a better handle on the start time of the snow during the day tomorrow. Our worry is that it starts too late for delays and ends too early for releases.

Enjoy the Monday holiday, and hopefully we can get a few extra hours to sleep in on Tuesday.

Highly Active Pattern--Four Day Weekend?

Across the nation today the weather was bonkers. Avalanches, tornadoes, blizzards, floods--yeesh! It's dangerous out there.

Closer to home, we did see a spate of delays this morning. We thought we might see one or two, and those delays predictably came in the higher elevation towns on the east side of the County.

We will enjoy about 48 hours of calm before the next weather maker hits the region. Unfortunately, the next storm--late Friday into Saturday--will look a lot like yesterday's storm. The center of the storm will shoot up from the south, but it will go to our west. Whenever we are on the east side of a storm center, the air gets too warm and it leads to rain. So, sadly, we'll once again see snow at first (late Friday night) and then rain. Fortunately, it will be a fast mover and the rain should end mid-afternoon. We will see temps in the mid-40s on Saturday, but the cold air returns on Sunday.

The return of the cold air cold lead to a storm on Tuesday or Wednesday. We absolutely could be guilty of pre-storm hype for this one--we're not ashamed--but there are signs from the models of a snow day-inducing snowfall for Tuesday or Wednesday. The models are certainly not in agreement, but, in the immortal words of Lloyd Christmas, we are saying that there's a chance. 

The Euro for Wednesday (1/17) morning. This storm does not have to track that much farther to the north for us to enjoy a snow day.

Right now the Euro model is showing the storm tracking to our south and the Berkshires getting 2-4 inches of snow by daybreak Wednesday (see above). Yesterday, the models were showing more of a 6-8" storm for Tuesday into Wednesday so it's not trending in the right direction. There's a lot of variability and uncertainty, which likely means we'll get a big fat nothing-burger, but a more northerly turn to the storm center could make next week a 3-day week.

After that, we're seeing signals for yet another weekend storm. We have noted over the years that storms can come in threes, and a storm for the weekend of the 20th-21st would be our third weekend storm in a row. This storm would be all snow because there will be cold air in place.

The best case scenario next week is two snow days, Wednesday and Friday (highly unlikely). The worst case scenario would be a four-day week (Martin Luther King Jr. Day on Monday). Even in the worst case scenario we should get a base of snow that might stick around for a while.

The GSD Staff is amped up to bring you fresh content each day. Keep the faith, Flake Followers!

Delays for Wednesday, January 10

More heavy rain is on the way this morning before we see a gradual let-up by noon. Temps will be in the mid-40s today. Some flurries are possible this afternoon and black ice will be an issue for Thursday morning's commute. Fortunately, the wind has died down.

The following schools have 2-hour delays today:

Berlin

Central Berkshire 

Emma Miller 

Gabriel Abbott 

Stamford

Winter Weather Advisory -- Tuesday, Jan. 9

It's a stormy week all right.

After this weekend's somewhat underperforming storm--not as many towns in the double digits as we were hoping--we have a lively next 5 or 6 days.

We do have Winter Weather Advisory in effect for Tuesday afternoon (3 PM) until midnight. We are expected to see a period of snow before the changeover to a heavy rain and strong winds. There is a chance that districts will cancel after school activities tomorrow and/or games/performances tomorrow night. It won't be much snow--an inch or less for most--but if you live in a high elevation town you could see up to 5 inches.

NWS Albany

The big threat for this next storm will be the wind. We have a High Wind Warning in Berkshire County, with gusts up to 60 mph expected. Typically, we don't get all the way to Warning criteria, so it will be wild out there overnight tomorrow. Power outages are highly likely, so some schools may have to delay or cancel on Wednesday. But with a fairly healthy infrastructure for our area, closings or delays will be the exception rather than the rule.

Courtesy of WBZ Boston.

There is another storm coming in for the weekend. Unfortunately, the cold in air we had in place for this past weekend's storm will not be around for the next one. (There's plenty of cold air, though, in the western states. See #7 in this list.) So, with the forecast for wet snow and rain mixing in, we're not expecting much in the way of snow totals for Saturday. 

Let's get through the next two days, and then we'll have more and better information for the weekend event.

Stay safe out there!

Weekend Storm (Jan. 6/7) -- Final Update

Sorry for the delay on our update today. With no snow day in the mix, the GSD Staff was a little late arriving to the office and goofed off much of the afternoon. There will be a staff meeting on Monday to address this issue.

A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 4 PM Saturday to 7 PM Sunday. Seven to 12" inches is expected, with over a foot probable for the east-facing slopes of the Berkshires. The hill towns will get a snow beat down, and everyone in the county will be shoveling and plowing at least 6" of snow.

As of 5 PM, the radar is showing snow right on the doorstep. It should come down hard this evening. Travel after 9 PM will be ill advised. Snow--heavy at times--will fall until about 1 or 2 AM. Then we may see a dry slot over the Berkshires that gives us light snow for several hours. In the morning, as the low pressure system leaves our area, we will have "wrap-around snow" (technically "deformation" snow) that could tack on another 2-4 inches. This wrap-around snow is similar to lake effect snow that we often see to our west. On the radar this snow will seem to be coming at us from north to south (atypical) and it often lasts for several hours and can really pile up if it's cold enough.

We know many of you are desperate for some kind of delay or snow day for Monday, but that's just not going to happen. Maybe one of the northeast hill town elementary schools gets a delay, but the rest of the county will be going to school for the full day.

Get out and enjoy the snow Sunday through Tuesday because much of it will be gone by Wednesday night. Wet snow then rain begins Tuesday night and continue through much of the day Wednesday. Couple that with temps in the 50s on Wednesday and you can say bye-bye to the snow.

More snow and rain are headed our way for next weekend, but it won't allow for much of a base to form as the temperature will be too warm. It's very frustrating. The glass half-full take is that we're starting to enjoy a stormy pattern. Small victories. We can build on this.

Weekend Storm (Jan. 6/7) -- The Friday Update

For the record, if this storm were on a school day, the GSD would be going with the 100% chance of a snow day due to the robust snow amount and perfect timing. Alas, better luck next time.

We're still on track for a banger of a storm. The Watch has not yet been upgraded to a Warning, but it will be shortly. Model runs are still consistently project 8-12 inches for our areas. Higher elevation towns on the east-facing slopes will get the highest amounts. The GSD Office in Williamstown could see the least amount with 6-8" by Sunday afternoon.

Today at the GSD satellite office (also in Williamstown), the big excitement wasn't the latest weather map but a moose sighting. Go figure.

Everyone in the Berkshires should see flakes by 8 PM. Many will see them a few hours earlier than that. We were hoping to see temps in the mid-20s to give us that nice fluffy snow, but it will be closer to freezing so the snow will be denser and harder to shovel. That density might also keep totals closer to 8" than 12". Be aware that winds will kick up on Sunday so the blowing and drifting of snow could make driving conditions less than ideal.

Enjoy the first big one of the season. Perhaps this one will break the ice, so to speak, and commence a parade of storms. More snow is expected mid-week (with rain, too) and next weekend.

Weekend Storm (Jan. 6/7) -- Winter Storm Watch

On Thursday afternoon, National Weather Service (NWS) Albany issued a Winter Storm Watch for the Berkshires. With the flipping-and-flopping American model finally getting in sync with the European model, confidence is now much higher for a heavy snow event starting Saturday night.

The current forecast is as follows:

Not so bad, considering just yesterday we were seeing predictions in the 3-6" range.

For the GSD Staff to be really certain about a storm, we like to look at the range of possibilities for a storm. Currently, most meteorologists are showing a minimum of 5" for the Berkshires with a maximum of 14-17"(!). Even though this storm is showing a high minimum and a very high maximum, we don't like the wide variability. This means the storm could still disappoint. We'd prefer to see a narrower band between the low and high possibilities, which would indicate more consistent runs of the models. But, let's not forget--we're talking about the weather here.

Despite some hesitation on the part of the GSD Staff, we think it's a good idea for you to find those taller snow boots and check the oil in the ol' snowblower. Expect a 6-9" event that starts (according to NWS Boston) around 7 PM on Saturday. If we are to end up on the higher end of the prediction, snow might start a few hours earlier. Snow will taper in the afternoon on Sunday, with some wrap-around snows possible all the way into early evening. Unless we're in the 15-18" range, we do not expect any delays for Monday.

We'll refine the snow prediction as more info comes in tomorrow. Get ready for a snowy Sunday!

 

Weekend Storm (Jan. 6/7) -- The Wednesday Update

We wonder some times if the masses enjoy the hype before the storm more than the snow itself.

If the hype machine were a snow machine it'd be a blizzard out there. Coverage is ramping up for the weekend snow storm, but things are certainly looking iffy for a high volume storm for the Berkshires.

The North American model prediction. Not a fan.

Our two favorite models--the Euro and the North American--are not seeing eye-to-eye. The North American takes the storm off the Delmarva peninsula and then out to see south of the Cape and the islands.

The Euro model (showing 7 AM Sunday morning). Ideally, we'd like the big red L to be more north and west.

The Old Semi-reliable Euro takes the center of the storm much closer to southern New England and then out to sea. For our area to get the big snow, we need the center of the storm (also known as the center of the low pressure system) to hug the coast and/or pass right through Connecticut and central Massachusetts.

So, based on a blending of the models, we think that 2-5" is likely for the Berkshires starting late Saturday night and continuing through the morning hours of Sunday. Enough to shovel and maybe even enough for sledding. Travel could be difficult Sunday morning, especially for those in southern Berkshire County.

But the situation, as they say, is fluid. So stay tuned!

Weekend Storm (Jan. 6-7) -- The Tuesday Update

It's still way too early, but there are more positive signs than negative ones that it will snow this weekend. We are not etching this prediction in stone just yet, but folks in these here parts may need to fire up the snowblower come Sunday afternoon.

Here are two good signs: it looks like there will be plenty of cold air in place, which is a phrase we have not been able to utter once this winter. Also, models are showing an expected 0.5" or so of liquid precipitation, so that means roughly 6" of snow.

The North American model's liquid precipitation forecast for the weekend.

We're still urging caution about getting too excited for this storm. There are a lot of moving parts still, and there's no guarantee on the track of the storm. If all of the positive signs do align, then we will have a moderate or heavy snowfall (6-10"). If they don't, then the storm could easily bust and leave us with a paltry inch or two. Yes, we will happily take an inch or two, but it's high time we get a base on which we can build.

More tomorrow. Keep the faith!