Update on the Tuesday Storm

The GSD Staff is deep into the Model Watch zone as we are under 72 hours before our first decent snow storm of the season.

Things are still looking good for measurable snow. What we're less certain about is how much the storm will impact the school day on Tuesday.

The models are both still showing measurable snow for most of southern and coastal New England. It definitely looks as if some places will see 8+ inches of the good white stuff. So much depends on the track of the storm, as usual.

The North American model is still coming in strong with 5-6 inches of snow for most in the Berkshires.

The North American (GFS) model forecast.

The Euro model, though, continues to push forward a more modest forecast. We would see measurable snow and messy roads but only 2-4 inches. 

The standard Euro model forecast.

Interestingly, the Euro model's newest iteration--an AI-enhanced ensemble called the ECMWF-AIFS--is showing widespread 6" for all of the Berkshires. It will be fun to see who wins the battle of the model wars come Wednesday.

Welcome to the party, AI-enhanced Euro model!

We see no need to move the numbers on the Confidence Meter just yet. We are really starting to like the potential start to the storm--5 AM on Tuesday--which could lead to many snow days because of the threat of terrible road conditions at the end of the school day. At least that's what the optimists in the office are hoping for.

We'll be dialing in on the timing and track as we get more information tonight and tomorrow.